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This is the second part of my two-part series that I started last week. Now, being considered an overrated player takes into account how a player has done in the past, who is the supporting cast, and where they should be drafted in your leagues. So, to clarify once more, Adrian Peterson is a great player, just don’t take him 2nd overall in your league.
Here are some wideouts you shouldn’t take early.
Those out there who subscribe to the “Delhomme/Smith” duo need to take another look. Although Steve Smith had his best year with Delhomme in 2005 (1,563 yds, 12 TD), Smith has had two “pretty good” years with Delhomme. With 16 games with Delhomme in 2003, Smith had 1,110 yds and 7 TD then in 13 games with Delhomme in 2006, Smith had similar numbers with 1,166 yds and 8 TD.
So, we have one year where the Steve Smith/Jake Delhomme duo put up amazing stats. Last season, Smith had 1,002 yds and 7 TD without Delhomme which really isn’t a far cry from 2003 and 2006. Factor in Steve Smith missing the first two games of the season and we see that Smith will miss 1/8 of the season which is huge from your wide recievers. Pass on Smith as your #1 WR.
Holt will begin the season at the age of 32. In the past two season, his receiving numbers have fallen. In 2006 he had 1,188 yds and in 2007 he had 1,189 yds. Both seasons represented the first time since his rookie year that he failed to reach 1,300 yds.
Most of last year’s moderate success is attributed to Steven Jackson only playing 12 games and rushing for just over 1,000 yds (hence throwing the ball was the gameplan of choice). A healthy Steven Jackson is the focus of the Rams offense, so Holt’s numbers look to stay the same as his last two years.
The O-Line in St. Louis is also shaky as evident by last season when Marc Bulger was sacked 37 times. Don’t draft Holt thinking of his best years, pass on him for a younger star.
With Brett Favre’s departure from Green Bay, Jennings’ numbers will not be duplicated. In his rookie season of 2006, Jennings had mediocre numbers with 632 yds and 3 TD. During that season, Brett Favre had an off-year by throwing 18 TD and 18 INT. The next season when Jennings had 920 yds and 12 TD, Favre had a great season with 4,155 yds and 28 TD. Do you see something there? Yes, when Favre was good, Jennings was good.
Now Favre is gone and an unproven Aaron Rodgers is in his place. Let’s not forget Ryan Grant. Grant burst onto the scene in Week 8 and never looked back. With a whole season of work, Grant will get more calls and Jennings won’t be leaned on as much to produce for the offense.