382 days ago, I offered my 2007-08 Season Preview. The Celtics had just turned the roster upside-down, and welcomed new additions Kevin Garnett, Ray Allen, James Posey, Eddie House, Scot Pollard, and Glen ‘Big Baby’ Davis. I figured it would take some time for the team, while very talented, to gel. Then they started the season 29-3 and had people talking of a possible 73-win season.
I did have the Celtics making the NBA Finals last year, only to lose to the San Antonio Spurs in six games. As we all know, I was wrong again, as it was the Celtics winning in 6 over the Los Angeles Lakers. Why is it important to bring up past predictions? Well, because I’m going to offer my predictions for the 2008-09 season.
Here’s a rough projection of the Eastern and Western Conferences. (Please keep in mind that projected records are not exact, so I gave what records each team could expect to have and roughly where they would fall in the standings. The exact numbers of wins and losses may be a little off)…
| Team | Record | Division Finish | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Boston | 64-18 | 1st, Atlantic |
| 2. | Cleveland | 58-24 | 1st, Central |
| 3. | Detroit | 55-27 | 2nd, Central |
| 4. | Philadelphia | 55-27 | 2nd, Atlantic |
| 5. | Orlando | 50-32 | 1st, Southeast |
| 6. | Toronto | 46-36 | 3rd, Atlantic |
| 7. | Washington | 42-40 | 2nd, Southeast |
| 8. | Atlanta | 41-41 | 3rd, Southeast |
| 9. | Miami | 40-42 | 4th, Southeast |
| 10. | Indiana | 35-47 | 3rd, Central |
| 11. | Chicago | 32-50 | 4th, Central |
| 12. | Charlotte | 30-52 | 5th, Southeast |
| 13. | New Jersey | 28-54 | 4th, Atlantic |
| 14. | Milwaukee | 25-57 | 5th, Central |
| 15. | New York | 24-58 | 5th, Atlantic |
Notes: You can’t take away how good the Celtics were last year. They should remain strong this year, maybe off by a couple games. For the most part, the playoff picture will look the same as in 07-08. Philadelphia and Cleveland should be much improved, and Detroit, Orlando, Toronto, and Washington should remain the same. I think the Hawks (that’s for you Shotgun) can squeak in ahead of the MUCH-improved Heat. The Knicks will certainly miss the playoffs, but D’Antoni should give the team some direction.
| Team | Record | Division Finish | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | L.A. Lakers | 62-20 | 1st, Pacific |
| 2. | New Orleans | 57-25 | 1st, Southwest |
| 3. | Houston | 56-26 | 2nd, Southwest |
| 4. | San Antonio | 55-27 | 3rd, Southwest |
| 5. | Utah | 52-30 | 1st, Northwest |
| 6. | Dallas | 50-32 | 4th, Southwest |
| 7. | Phoenix | 48-34 | 2nd, Pacific |
| 8. | Portland | 46-36 | 2nd, Northwest |
| 9. | Denver | 44-38 | 3rd, Northwest |
| 10. | LA Clippers | 42-40 | 3rd, Pacific |
| 11. | Golden State | 38-43 | 4th, Pacific |
| 12. | Sacramento | 30-52 | 5th, Pacific |
| 13. | OK City | 25-57 | 4th, Northwest |
| 14. | Minnesota | 23-59 | 5th, Northwest |
| 15. | Memphis | 17-65 | 5th, Southwest |
Notes: The Lakers with a healthy Andrew Bynum should rule the West yet again, with New Orleans not far behind. Houston should improve with the addition of Ron Artest and hopefully a healthy Yao Ming. Dallas and Phoenix are getting older, so they should slip. Yes, I have Portland squeaking in. They were really good for a stretch last year, and theyre adding Greg Oden this year. Denver should slip out of the playoffs in a tough conference with the loss of Marcus Camby (though the Nuggets don’t play much defense anyway). And look for the Clippers (yes the Clippers!) to make a run at the 8th spot in the West. They added Baron Davis and Marcus Camby…and lost Corey Maggette. The Grizzlies have got to be the worst team in the NBA, but at least it gives Mike Conley, Jr. and O.J. Mayo time to shine.
NBA MVP: Chris Paul, PG, New Orleans Hornets
Rookie of the Year: Greg Oden, C, Portland Trailblazers
Defensive Player of the Year: Kevin Garnett, PF, Boston Celtics
NBA’s Most Improved Player: Loul Deng, SF, Chicago Bulls
Sixth Man Award: Manu Ginobili, SG, San Antonio Spurs
NBA Executive of the Year: Ed Stefanski, Philadelphia 76ers
NBA Coach of the Year: Doc Rivers, Boston Celtics
East: Celtics over Cavs, 4-2
West: Spurs over Lakers, 4-3
FINALS: Celtics over Spurs, 4-3
Notes: This is always extremely difficult to pick. I had the Spurs facing the Celtics in the Finals in my prediction last year, which wasn’t that far off. I think the Celtics, now with a full year under their belt, should be able to play almost as well as last year (2007-08 was hard to top). The Cavaliers are even better this year than last, and LeBron James is a year older, but I don’t think their time has come yet. The Celtics are now playoff-savvy, having played the most playoff games in one postseason in NBA history (26), and are certainly poised to make another deep run in the playoffs.
The Spurs are always good. They may be getting older, but Tim Duncan & Co. usually respond very well in a season after they do not win the NBA Title. The Lakers should be awesome this year, but when it comes to the playoffs, Andrew Bynum is untested so he’s going to be a wild card. Pau Gasol and Kobe Bryant should be solid as always, and Lamar Odom will probably disappear yet again.
OK, enough with the previewing. Let’s play some Celtics basketball.
Are you ready for a run at Banner No. 18?
How far will the Celtics go this season?
Total Voters: 31
Tags: Celtics, Kevin Garnett, NBA, Paul Pierce, Ray Allen
Haha. Thanks for the love KC.
Unlike many of the “experts,” I too believe my Hawks will be back in the playoffs. They still have the ability to surprise some folks this season with all of the doubters, and I think they will do just that.
They are deeper than they were last season (despite losing Josh Childress to another continent), and I expect a breakout year from Marvin Williams (go ahead and be ready to quote me on that one).
They may even be “good enough” to be the kings of the Southeast, depending on how well Orlando plays (probably not, but it’s a possibility).
The team I don’t see making the playoffs (with the Heat making it) is Washington. They are missing both Arenas and Haywood. I think they will struggle for the first couple of months, and inevitably miss out.
I wouldnt go so far as having the Hawks beat out the Magic for the division, but I think they have a shot at the 8th seed again. Miami didn’t look that good against the Knicks, but it is only one game. We’ll see.
ps – Josh Smith is a beast!