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TGIF: Brett Favre Fantasy Value

Brett Favre

The Brett Favre media circus rolled into Minnesota in full force and left a devastating wave of damage. In the end, Favre signed a two-year deal with the Vikings and will be their starting QB for the 2009 season.

My condolences go out to Tavaris Jackson and Sage Rosenfels who will never see the field for the next two years. Those poor guys. Favre’s numbers may be in decline as he is getting up their in his old age (39), but his presence alone on the field will actually be incredibly beneficial to the rest of the Vikings’ offense.

How Favre’s Return Helps Minnesota

Brett Favre, QB

Ok, let’s take care of the man himself right away. With Favre, you know you are getting a QB that will go out there every Sunday and play. There is no need to worry about Favre missing a game with injury (as we learned last season in New York, he will play injured and not tell anybody) and you can expect his consecutive game started streak to continue.

Over the past four seasons, Favre has averaged 3,848 yds, 22 TD, and 21 INT. The yds indicate that he can still throw the ball, but the TD-INT numbers leave something to be desired. If you think moving indoors will zap his game, then you may be surprised. Favre actually has a career QB rating of 90.3 in 38 games indoors with 74 TD and 46 INT.

As we all know though, Minnesota is a running team considering they have that Adrian Peterson guy with them. So throwing the ball and racking up the passing yds may not come as easy to Favre. Just because he is back in the NFC North, it doesn’t mean he will be the old Favre again (although it will be better than the AFC East). Expect Favre to be slightly better than last season, but still not his old self.

Adrian Peterson, RB

Speaking of AP, it is time to acknowledge the NFL’s best player. Adrian Peterson is slated to go first overall in most drafts and for good reason. AP rushed for 1,760 yds with 10 TD last season which was an improvement over his 1,341 yd, 12 TD rookie season. There is a lot of hype surrounding Peterson especially since he has professed his desire to rush for 2,000 yds, and it may not be as ridiculous as you think.

Keep in mind, AP has put up his monster rushing totals when he has had the likes of Tavaris Jackson, Gus Frerotte, Kelly Holcomb, and Brooks Bollinger taking the snaps. So now, he gets a proven veteran in Brett Favre to finally show opposing defenses that Minnesota can actually put up a decent passing attack.  If you recall, Favre is the man who turned Thomas Jones into a 1,312 yd back with 13 TD last season. In short, Favre’s presence opens up an already superb running game.

Bernard Berrian, WR

Berrian is not a name you will find at the top of a lot of WR rankings, but he is now definitely worth a second look.

In each of the past two seasons, Berrian has reached 950+ receiving yds and last season, he averaged an incredible 20.1 yds per catch. You can’t expect Berrian to sustain the ypc, but given 90 catches, there is no reason to think that he can’t eclipse the 1,000 yd mark.

Favre is obviously a huge upgrade over Tavaris Jackson. Berrian and the rest of the receivers should receive a boost in stats with #4 throwing the ball.

In Conclusion

Brett Favre’s return does not launch his value through the roof. He will put up the typical Favre-esque numbers that we have come to expect. Playing indoors in the NFC North does make him slightly more valuable than it did last season in the AFC East. Not to mention, the Vikings have the second easiest shcedule in the NFL, so that is another reason to like Favre and the offense.

If you were contemplating taking someone else with the first overall pick other than AP (Maurice Jones-Drew, Matt Forte, Michael Turner, etc.), then the arrival of Favre at QB should now leave no doubt in your mind. Minnesota’s passing game just got better (better than Tavaris Jackson anyway) and now opposing defenses won’t be putting eight in the box on every play.

The Receivers in Minnesota have never had a good QB throwing them the ball. Berrian and the rest of the crop will now be able to show what they can do with an All-Pro QB at the helm.

Berrian has had Tavaris Jackson in Minnesota and in Chicago he had Brian Griese, Kyle Orton, and Rex Grossman. Oh man, that poor bastard never had a chance. I can’t wait to see what he can do this season.

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One comment for “TGIF: Brett Favre Fantasy Value”

  1. TGIF: Brett Favre Fantasy Value: The Brett Favre media circus rolled into Minnesota in full force and left a dev.. http://bit.ly/1Yl2iO

    Posted by Sports of Boston | August 21, 2009, 2:21 pm

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