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Right now the safest bet in college football is Boise State. If you are looking for a sure thing, bet Boise State. They have the best shot at finishing undefeated among the top five teams. The combined record of their final five opponents is 17-20. Here is another great reason why Boise could play for the national championship: the other teams are going to beat up on each other. Alabama and LSU play this week, so someone is going to lose. Oklahoma State still has to play Oklahoma, who is ranked sixth, and Stanford still has to play Oregon. I look at Boise State as gold. No matter what they are a safe bet to invest in.
Nebraska controls their own fate. If they win out they will play in the Big Ten championship. Here is the problem: they play at Penn State and at Michigan in consecutive weeks. Penn State is 8-1 and 5-0 in Big Ten play and Michigan is tied for first in the Legends division with Nebraska. If the schedule wasn’t enough to scare you off them, Taylor Martinez should be. He is completing just 55% of his passes and last week through for just 80 yards. Martinez may be able to skate by with numbers like that against Penn State, but against Michigan he will need to be much more effective. So sell Nebraska, shaky quarterback play and a touch schedule going forward is too much for the Cornhuskers.
This week is huge for Virginia Tech as they travel to Atlanta to play Georgia Tech. The winner of this game will be in the driver’s seat to play in the ACC Championship game with just two games remaining. Despite an ugly showing at home against Clemson about a month ago, the Hokies are poised to have a rematch against them in the ACC championship. I believe Virginia Tech’s defense shuts down Paul Johnson’s triple offense. Since that loss to Clemson,’ Virginia Tech has scored 30 or more points in three out of their last four games and held their opponents to under 20 points in three out of those four. They also have the nation’s leading rusher in David Wilson, who has rushed for 1,185 yards and seven touchdowns. If Virginia Tech and Clemson meet up again, you can expect a much better performance from the Hokies.
Houston is in the same boat as Boise State, which is a bad schedule going forward. The Cougars schedule is slightly worse as the combined record for their remaining opponents is 14-20. They are fun to watch with record-setting quarterback Case Keenum at the helm, but the inferior competition is their downfall. The move to the Big East will certainly help them, even if the Big East is only an average football conference, it is a step up from Conference USA. The problem for me is how do I buy into a team that is going to play in the Liberty Bowl? I just can’t.