|2014 NBA Playoffs Expert Picks: First Round||NBA First Round Predictions||Datsyuk’s Late Heroics Topple Bruins in Game 1||Celtics Go 1-1 in Draft Order Tiebreakers|
The quarterback position in fantasy football is rapidly changing. The NFL is becoming becoming more and more of a passing league every year. Combine that with rookies stepping in right away and becoming stars at the position, and there are several directions you can go. I believe there are 15 QBs this year who are legitimate fantasy starters in leagues where you can only start one quarterback. Therefore, I recommend owners fill their running back and wide receiver slots first, unless you come across a serious bargain. But when you finally do decide to take a quarterback, let’s count down your top 10 options.
How quickly we forget that this time last year, there wasn’t an expert on the planet, including NFL odds makers, who had this guy outside of their top five rankings for QB. He’s fallen considerably this year due to his TD pass total dropping from 41 to 20. But here’s the thing, his receivers got tackled inside the 5 yard line a whopping 23 times! He is going to be a huge bargain this year. He has lead the league in pass attempts the last two seasons and now has a running threat in Reggie Bush. Stafford has serious potential to end up top 5 this season, if he doesn’t throw his arm out and makes better decisions.
RGIII being this low in my rankings shows just how deep the quarterback position is this year. He was a monster as a rookie last season. He was tied for fifth in fantasy points in ESPN standard scoring. However, I’m a bit reluctant to draft him because he is coming off of a torn ACL. I don’t see him being allowed to run as much. This could convert him to more of a thrower and take away his dual threat that made him so dangerous last year. Somewhat risky pick but he has the upside to be the best. Be sure to draft a solid backup if you take RGIII.
I absolutely love this guy. If Percy Harvin wasn’t out for a long period of time I might have moved him up even more. I see him as more of a safe pick than an upside guy due to Seattle’s conservative offense. Wilson is a rare bread maturity wise. He looked like an 8 year veteran last season. He has good running ability but what I really like is that unlike RGIII, he got down and avoided hits. Wilson might not put up the monster numbers, but he also won’t kill you with wreckless decisions.
Former quarterback and ESPN analyst Ron Jaworski said on Sportscenter the other day that Kaepernick could end up being one of the best of all time. He doesn’t yet have a full season under his belt. Michael Crabtree’s torn achillies is a huge blow. All he really has is Anquan Boldin and Vernon Davis for pass catchers. But once he became the starter last year, his lowest fantasy output was 16 points. He may be forced to do it all this year, and that could lead to a monster season.
Such a consistent and reliable player and he keeps getting better. Only two games with single digit points all year last year. He might have the best receivers in the NFL. Look for another big year. He’s your safest bet if you miss out on the top two or three.
Newton takes a pounding every week, but he has the body to handle it. He had the fifth highest fantasy point output as a rookie and even though it seemed as though he had a bit of a sophomore slump last season, he was ranked 4th. Not a bad start to your career. If this were real life rankings I’d knock him down about five spots. But in fantasy, his running ability will never allow him to have a bad week points wise.
We all know how good Peyton Manning is. Now he has Wes Welker in town. I only shy away from him at top three because it seemed like fatigue played a role at the end of last season and he’s getting old. He’ll be right up there in numbers with Brees, Brady, and Rodgers, but I think he is the riskiest pick of that group.
I’ve seen him fall in rankings due to all of the receivers he’s lost. Take advantage of that and get him at a discount. He’s looked as good as ever in the pre-season. He was tied for second in fantasy points last season and it wouldn’t shock me if he did it again. Remember that Tom Brady’s receivers don’t make him a star, Tom Brady makes his receivers stars.
The number one fantasy scorer last season and he didn’t even have his head coach. Brees Has thrown for at least 4,000 yards seven straight years. The only reasons I don’t have him as number one are his interceptions and that he doesn’t run. But if you want to pick him as the first QB I won’t argue. Monster year in store for Brees.
I am about to put my fantasy team’s fate in Aaron Rodgers’ hands for the fourth straight season and it usually works out pretty well. Record passing numbers, no multiple interception games last year, rushing yards and touchdowns, star receivers, and durability. You might see his picture next to consistency in the dictionary.
If you miss out on these guys, Tony Romo is probably your safest bet. He quietly puts up huge numbers on par with guys on this list at a much cheaper price tag. Mike Vick is the most likely non top ten to finish top five and I’m a believer. He’s as dangerous as they come. Andrew Luck will also end up being a fantasy star for years to come and EJ Manuel could be the next big time rookie.