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All good things must come to an end. Oh, and they will. Currently, Kansas City’s Zack Greinke is the best pitcher in fantasy baseball. The first month of the season has seen Greinke win all five of his starts which include two complete games and two starts with at least 10 strikeouts.
However, this kind of scorching hot start seems a little too familiar for anybody who was a Greinke owner last season. If recent trends continue, then you may want to start thinking about selling while Greinke’s stock is at its zenith.
At this time last season, Greinke was also one of the best if not the best pitcher in fantasy baseball. After one month of action in 2008, Greinke was 3-0 with a 1.25 ERA which included a complete game. Do any of these elements sound familiar yet? Owners were flying high and felt on top of the world for such a great bargain bin draft pick. Then May came along…
May was not as nice to Greinke when he posted a 2-2 record and 4.38 ERA. OK, everyone is entitled to a bad month. So Greinke must have bounced back in June right? WRONG!
June treated Zackary even worse than May when he had a 5.25 ERA in six games started with a deplorable WHIP of 1.42 and a staggering 9 HR’s allowed.
July continued Greinke’s string of misfortune with a 1-3 record, 5.22 ERA and season worst 1.57 WHIP. Even more worrisome was the fact that opposing hitters teed off on Greinke when they hit .311 against him.
Finally after three months of torture, Grineke finally settled down somehow and finished the season in strong fashion with a 2.61 ERA in the final two months of 2008. By that time though, owners had abandoned ship and Greinke had either been traded or dumped into free agency. I can’t blame you if you did. If a pitcher is not performing then you don’t play them.
So what do we do this season? Well if history repeats itself, then I highly suggest that you cut ties with Zack Greinke before the ship starts to sink. Hell, even if he did not collapse last season, with such a great start to 2009 (0.50 ERA in 36 IP), I would suggests trading him anyway to some poor sucker who thinks he can actually keep this up.
If you are a believer in the past repeating in the present, then give up on Greinke. If you own him and need help in other areas on your team, then sell while the stock is through the roof. Either way, the moral of the story today kids is: SELL! SELL! SELL!